New York Jets Playoff Chances: Jets Week 11 Playoff Picture

By Brandon Justice

Key Takeaways:

  • ⭐ The Jets playoff chances for the 2024-25 season are +900 based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
  • 📈 A loss in Week 11 dropped NYJ's playoff odds by 5%.
  • 🏆 To make the playoffs, the Jets will need to secure a Wild Card spot as they trail Buffalo.

After a disappointing season so far that includes a fired head coach and multiple trades, the Jets finally got back in the win column against Houston in Week 11. The primetime victory boosted their chances at the Wild Card, but they're still a longshot. Below, I'll track the Jets' playoff chances throughout the 2024-25 regular season. 👇

What are the Jets Playoff Chances?

The Jets playoff chances are 10% based on implied probability from +900 odds, according to the top Ontario betting apps.

🏆 Jets Playoff Chances10% (+5%)
🏆 Jets Miss Playoffs90% (+1%)
🏆 Jets Win Super Bowl.4% (-0.2%)
🏆 Jets Win AFC2.7% (-6.3%)
🏆 Jets Win AFC East4.3% (-33.4%)
🚫 NYT Playoff Simulator16%
🚫 ESPN FPI1.1, 13th in NFL
✅ Last Verified:November 20, 2024

Implied probability based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

Do the Jets Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the New York Jets still have a 10% chance at making the playoffs for the first time in 13 years. They will need to reverse the course on their 3-7 start to the season, but it's not impossible.

 
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Where Can I Bet on the New York Jets to Make the Playoffs?

Now that sports betting is legal in Ontario & NY, you can bet on the Jets with an online or retail sportsbook in both countries.

You can bet on the Jets with any of the best Ontario sportsbooks, including DraftKings, FanDuel, bet365, and more.

Where to Bet in Ontario:

  • 📍 Caesars Palace Windsor Sportsbook
  • 📍 Elements Casino Brantford
  • 📍 Shorelines Casino Belleville
  • 📍 Pickering Casino Resort
  • 📍 Great Blue Heron Casino

Where to Bet in NY:

  • 📍 Point Place Casino
  • 📍 Turning Stone Resort Casino
  • 📍 Yellow Brick Road Casino & Sportsbook
  • 📍 del Lago Resort Casino
  • 📍 Tioga Downs Casino Resort
  • 📍 Resort World Catskills
  • 📍 Rivers Sportsbook at Rivers Casino Schenectady
  • 📍 The Sports Lounge at Seneca Casinos (3 locations in Buffalo)
  • 📍 Sticks Sportsbook & Grill at Akwesasne Mohawk Casino

Jets Playoff Picture: Looking Ahead

New York Jets playoff chances improve with Aaron Rodgers and Quincy Williams

After watching the Jets' playoff hopes come crashing after four offensive snaps last season, the feeling around the team is much the same: if Aaron Rodgers is healthy, the Jets have a fantastic chance at snapping their more-than-a-decade-long playoff drought. In order to protect Rodgers, the Jets brought in reinforcements on the offensive line (John Simpson, Tyron Smith, and first-round draft pick Olu Fashanu) and gave him another wideout (Mike Williams) to compliment stud receiver Garrett Wilson. The defense saw some turnover but is still expected to be one of the top units in all of football.

Are the Jets Out of the Playoff Picture?

No, the Jets will be in the mix to make the playoffs this year.

The odds for the playoffs will change throughout the year but the Jets are in a great position as we approach the regular season.

 
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Jets Playoff Picture vs. AFC East Standings

In a division that was once dominated by the Patriots for nearly two decades, the Jets find themselves with the shortest playoff odds among the AFC East. As of November 2024, the Jets and Bills are tied with playoff odds of -175 with the Dolphins close by at -155. The Pats really aren't in the conversation given their complete turnover and have some of the longest playoff odds across the league. Being that the regular season has yet to kick off, everyone in the division is tied at 0-0 in terms of AFC East standings.

New York Jets Playoff Picture Outlook & Predictions

The New York Jets have some of the best playoff odds in the NFL, and for good reason. As long as this team stays healthy and their stars avoid season-ending injuries, the Jets are in a prime spot to make a deep postseason run. The Jets were on the doorstep of a playoff appearance last year while dealing with some of the worst quarterback play in the league. It goes without saying a healthy Aaron Rodgers is the main piece of the puzzle. Even if the defense takes a step back from where they were last year, a functional offense will help offset any regression on the other side of the ball.

 
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Key Contributors Toward Jets Playoff Chances

Here's a list of the most important players impacting the New York Jets playoff odds:

Offense:

  • Aaron Rodgers
  • Breece Hall
  • Garrett Wilson
  • Tyron Smith and Morgan Moses
  • Mike Williams/Allen Lazard/Xavier Gipson/Malachi Corley

We've already established that Rodgers is the skeleton key to the entire Jets season. Beyond him, running back Breece Hall and wide receiver Garrett Wilson are key cogs to just how well this offense will function. We saw Hall put the offense on his back last season and Wilson has been a stud despite having subpar QB play. Tyron Smith and Morgan Moses have been two of the best tackles for quite some time, but both are 33 years old. Smith also hasn't played a full season since 2015. Lastly, the Jets will need someone to step up behind Wilson as a legitimate second option in the passing attack.

Defense:

  • Sauce Gardner
  • Haason Reddick 
  • Will McDonald
  • Javon Kinlaw

Sauce Gardner is one of the premier, lock-down corners in the league. Having someone that can effectively erase an entire side of the field is a massive advantage. Former Eagle Haason Reddick was brought in as a pass-rushing force after racking up double-digit sacks in four straight seasons but is currently a no-show for training camp as he seeks a contract resolution. This is why the development of Will McDonald could be a huge turning point for the defense, as the former first-round pick did not surpass more than 30% of the snaps in any game last season. Finally, Javon Kinlaw was brought in to shore up a defensive front that was absolutely lethal last year. Kinlaw, also a former first-rounder, hasn't fully lived up to his draft expectations despite playing for the vaunted 49ers defense.

New York Jets Playoff Chances FAQs

The New York Jets' playoff chances currently sit at 63.6% according to odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.

No, the Jets are not currently eliminated from the playoffs.

You can bet on the New York Jets to make the playoffs at a legal sportsbook in either Ontario, New York or any legal betting state.

The Jets just missed the playoffs in the 2023-24 season after losing to the Dolphins.

Author

Brandon Justice

Brandon Justice has nearly a decade of experience covering sports and betting, primarily working in college football, college basketball, NFL and MLB. His goal is providing detailed analysis on the trends & data of sports betting with a wealth of experience, including writing for The Action Network & Rivals.com.

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