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Christopher Boan is a writer at OntarioBets.com. He's covered sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.
Matt LaFleur Against The Spread: Where Does Packers HC Rank?
It has been half a decade since the Green Bay Packers made waves by bringing in a first-time head coach to lead the storied franchise. Then-Tennessee Titans offensive coordinator Matt LaFleur took over from Mike McCarthy in 2019, a few years before Ontario sports betting became legal and regulated. Fast forward five years and LaFleur has thrived inside the hallowed grounds of Lambeau Field, going 56-27 (.675) with four winning seasons in five years and consecutive trips to the NFC Championship Game in 2019 and 2020.
LaFleur has yet to get Green Bay to the Super Bowl, but his tenure has mostly been a success story. For the 2024-25 NFL season, the Packers hold the eighth-best odds, at +1600 with bet365 Sportsbook Ontario, of lifting the Vince Lombardi Trophy.
To get a sense of where LaFleur stands among NFL head coaches, OntarioBets.com broke down the 44-year-old Michigan native’s ATS statistics, according to the nfeloapp website.
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Matt LaFleur Record Against The Spread
| Category | Percentage | Rank (Among Active Coaches) |
| Against The Spread (Overall) | 58.8% | 4th |
| Against The Spread (Home) | 62.0% | 6th |
| Against The Spread (Away) | 56.0% | T-10th |
| Against The Spread (Favorite) | 53.0% | T-9th |
| Against The Spread (Underdog) | 69.0% | T-2nd |
| Against The Spread (Division) | 63.0% | 5th |
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Matt LaFleur: An NFL ATS Success Story
Through five seasons, LaFleur’s standing when it comes to his record ATS in various scenarios ranks near the top of the league. His high point comes as an underdog, where LaFleur and the Pack have covered 69.0% of the time. He is tied for second among active coaches in that category (our list only accounts for the 25 NFL head coaches that were with their current teams last season). The stats include playoff games.
See our Green Bay Packers betting guide for more information about wagering on the popular NFL team.
Conversely, LaFleur’s weak spot, if there is one, is covering as an away team. Green Bay has done so 56.0% of the time under his watch, tied for 10th in the NFL among returning head coaches.
The sixth-year leader’s 53.0% cover percentage ATS as the favorite ranks in a tie for ninth in among NFL head coaches.
In between, you’ll find LaFleur fourth in terms of ATS overall, at 58.8%, while he ranks fifth ATS against NFC North opponents (63.0%) and sixth ATS at Lambeau Field, covering 62.0% of the time in home games.
In 2024-25, Pinnacle Ontario Sportsbook rates Green Bay’s over/under at 9.5 wins for a team coming off of a 9-8 season. The over has -151 odds as of Aug. 27 while the under is a +127 proposition.
Overall, Lafleur’s .675 winning percentage with the Packers ranks as the best total by an active NFL head coach who has been in the league full-time for a full season. He’s ahead of Nick Sirianni (.667 with the Philadelphia Eagles), Andy Reid (.641 for the Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs), Sean McDermott (.640 with the Buffalo Bills) and Mike Tomlin (.633 for the Pittsburgh Steelers).
For this season, the Green Bay Packers playoff chances rest on how well LaFleur can continue to help quarterback Jordan Love develop, and on improving the team’s No. 17 rank in yards allowed from the past two seasons.
USA Today photo by Ron Chenoy
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