What are the Bills Playoff Chances?
The Bills playoff chances are 100%, clinching the division and securing a playoff berth. Leading into the season, they were divisional favorites at Ontario sportsbooks.
| 🏆 Bills Playoff Chances | Clinched |
| 🏆 Bills Miss Playoffs | N/A |
| 🏆 Bills Win Super Bowl | 16.6% (+6.6%) |
| 🏆 Bills Win AFC | 31.7% (+10.9%) |
| 🏆 Bills Win AFC East | Clinched |
| 🚫 NYT Playoff Simulator | 100% |
| 🚫 ESPN FPI Rating | 6.7, No. 2 in NFL |
| ✅ Last Verified: | December 20, 2024 |
Implied probability based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook
Since they've been a mainstay in the postseason for the last decade, fans are more concerned with the Bills Super Bowl odds.
Do the Buffalo Bills Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
Yes, the Bills clinched a berth into the NFL Playoffs by winning the AFC East after a 35-10 win over San Francisco in Week 13. They will now do their best to secure a bye if they can outlast Kansas City.
Where Can I Bet on the Buffalo Bills to Make the Playoffs?
Since sports betting is legal in Ontario & NY, you can bet on Buffalo with an online or retail sportsbook.
You can bet on the Bills with any of the best Ontario sports betting apps, including DraftKings, FanDuel, bet365, and more.
Where to Bet in Ontario:
- 📍 Caesars Palace Windsor Sportsbook
- 📍 Great Blue Heron Casino
- 📍 Pickering Casino Resort
- 📍 Elements Casino Brantford
- 📍 Shorelines Casino Belleville
Where to Bet in NY:
- 📍 Point Place Casino
- 📍 Turning Stone Resort Casino
- 📍 Yellow Brick Road Casino & Sportsbook
- 📍 del Lago Resort Casino
- 📍 Tioga Downs Casino Resort
- 📍 Resort World Catskills
- 📍 Rivers Sportsbook at Rivers Casino Schenectady
- 📍 The Sports Lounge at Seneca Casinos (3 locations in Buffalo)
- 📍 Sticks Sportsbook & Grill at Akwesasne Mohawk Casino
Latest News & Updates Impacting the Bills Playoff Chances December 2024
- 📅 September 23, 2024: Buffalo makes a statement on Monday Night Football, beating the Jags 47-10 and improving their playoff chances by 11.2%.
- 📅 September 17, 2024: Massive injury news impacts the Bills playoff chances, as Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa goes down with a career-threatening concussion.
- 📅 September 8, 2024: In Week 1, Josh Allen leads the Bills to a comeback victory over the Cardinals.
- 📅 August 28, 2024: Buffalo swaps late-round picks with the Jets for rookie defensive back/returner Brandon Codrington.
- 📅 August 27, 2024: The Bills finalized their 53-man roster, cutting La'el Collins, Kareem Jackson, Andy Isabella, Frank Gore, Jr., and K.J. Hamler.
- 📅 June 12, 2024: Wide receiver Keon Coleman, the team's first-round draft pick, signed a four-year contract.
- 📅 May 31, 2024: WWE star Gable Stevenson inked a three-year rookie contract with the Bills.
- 📅 May 15, 2024: The NFL revealed the full schedule for 2024, placing Buffalo with the league's second-most challenging lineup, as per ESPN.
- 📅 April 4, 2024: Offensive tackle La’El Collins joined the team on a one-year contract.
- 📅 April 3, 2024: Wide receiver Stefon Diggs was traded to the Houston Texans along with a 2024 fifth-round pick and a 2025 fifth-round pick in exchange for a 2025 second-round pick.
- 📅 March 15, 2024: Wide receiver Curtis Samuel signed with the Bills.
- 📅 March 14, 2024: Wide receiver Mack Hollins became part of the Buffalo roster.
- 📅 March 6, 2024: To manage salary cap issues, the Bills released veteran center Mitch Morse and defensive backs Jordan Poyer and Tre’Davious White.
- 📅 January 28, 2024: Joe Brady was appointed as the team's offensive coordinator.
We will keep this section updated weekly throughout the offseason and into the regular season.
Looking Ahead: Bills Playoff Picture
With the Bills qualifying for the postseason more than 80% of the time in the last eight seasons, it's hard to picture them not doing it again this season. As they sit 3-0, they look like the best team in the NFL.
Franchise QB Josh Allen is one of the premier talents in the league. After some early struggles last season, he and head coach Sean McDermott led the franchise to five consecutive wins to end the season. Of course, that included a season finale win over Miami to secure a fourth-straight AFC East crown.
Missing the playoffs would be a failure for Buffalo. However, with the second-hardest schedule according to ESPN in one of the league's toughest divisions, their path is anything but easy.
Are the Bills Out of the Playoff Picture?
No, the Bills are squarely in the mix to make the playoffs this season. In fact, they have less than a 12% chance to miss the playoffs as they remain one of five undefeated teams in the NFL.
Bills Playoff Chances vs. AFC East
The Bills have had sole ownership of the AFC East, winning it the last four seasons. Given their strong start to the season and the injuries to Miami, Aaron Rodgers and the Jets are the only team standing in their way to another divisional crown.
| Team | Playoff Chances |
| 🏈 Bills | 88.2% |
| 🏈 Jets | 72.2% |
| 🏈 Dolphins | 30.7% |
| 🏈 Patriots | 13.3% |
With two teams anticipated to make the playoffs, the AFC East could go down to the wire.
Bills Playoff Picture Outlook & Predictions
The Buffalo Bills are a playoff team with the roster and signal-caller to compete for a divisional and conference championship.
However, they play in arguably the toughest division in the league, including two other playoff-caliber teams in New York & Miami. So, there's reason for pause when it comes to guaranteeing another double-digit win season for Josh Allen & Co.
Not only will they have to battle their division, but the Bills drew a brutal schedule with road games at Baltimore, Detroit, Houston, Seattle, Los Angeles, and Pittsburgh. On top of that, they host both Super Bowl finalists from a year ago in Kansas City & San Francisco.
In total, Buffalo has eight games against playoff teams. Despite that, oddsmakers continue to favor the Bills playoff chances in 2024.
Buffalo Bills Schedule And Betting Lines
Key Contributors to the Bills Playoff Chances
If you haven't kept up with the offseason, the Bills will be without some key contributors this season. With the loss of franchise wideout Stefon Diggs on top of team captains Mitch Morse & Jordan Poyer, who will lead the charge for Buffalo in 2024?
Here's a list of the most important players impacting the Buffalo Bills playoff odds:
Offense:
- QB Josh Allen
- C Connor McGovern (replacing All-Pro Mitch Morse)
- RT Spencer Brown
- WR Keon Coleman
- TE Dalton Kincaid
Defense:
- S Taylor Rapp
- DT Ed Oliver
- DE AJ Epenesa
- OLB Von Miller
- CB Rasul Douglas
Related Buffalo Bills Betting Content:
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Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances FAQs
The Bills have an 88.1% chance to make the playoffs, based on implied probability using the latest odds from DraftKings. Given their undefeated start to the season, Buffalo has the second-shortest odds among all 32 NFL teams.
No, the Bills are not eliminated from the NFL Playoffs. In fact, they have a far more realistic chance to make the playoffs, with just an 11.8% chance to miss it based on odds from DraftKings. Only Kansas City has better playoff odds than Buffalo.
No, the Bills aren't in the playoffs as they won't begin until the 2024-25 NFL regular season concludes. Last year, Buffalo qualified and won one playoff game against the Steelers. However, the franchise would go on to be eliminated by eventual champion Kansas City, 27-24, in the AFC Divisional Round.
You can bet on the Bills to make the playoffs on multiple legal sportsbooks. Whether you use a mobile app or bet in person, you have many options. You can sign up online to use DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Or, you can head to a local retail sportsbook to place your wager.
Yes, the Bills made the NFL Playoffs in 2023-24 after winning their final five games. In the season finale, they beat Miami to win the AFC East title. Behind strong play from Josh Allen & Co., Buffalo won a fourth-straight divisional crown. However, they would eventually lose in the AFC Divisional Round to Kansas City, 27-24.
Author
Brandon Justice has nearly a decade of experience covering sports and betting, primarily working in college football, college basketball, NFL and MLB. His goal is providing detailed analysis on the trends & data of sports betting with a wealth of experience, including writing for The Action Network & Rivals.com.
