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Christopher Boan is a writer at OntarioBets.com. He's covered sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.
Vlad Guerrero Jr. Trade Rumors: Will Blue Jays First Baseman Be Traded?
One of Major League Baseball's biggest rising stars, Blue Jays slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr., is entering free agency after the 2025 season. At OntarioBets.com, as part of our Ontario sports betting coverage, we are keeping an eye on Guerrero’s status. The Blue Jays didn’t make a deal with the star after his self-determined deadline of March 24.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Trade Odds
Outcome | Odds | Percent Chance |
Stay with Toronto Blue Jays | -150 | 60.0% |
Detroit Tigers | +1000 | 9.1% |
Seattle Mariners | +1200 | 7.7% |
Texas Rangers | +2150 | 4.4% |
New York Mets | +2850 | 3.4% |
The Field | +550 | 15.4% |
Where Will Vlad Play Next?
Right now, our top landing spot for the man affectionately known as “Vladito” is the team that has employed him for the entirety of the 26-year-old’s MLB career. Toronto checks in as -150 favorites to keep Guerrero long-term. You can keep track of Toronto Blue Jays playoff odds from various operators at OntarioBets.com all season.
This year, Guerrero is slated to earn $28.5 million, which is still well short of the market value of $35.6 million per season that Spotrac.com contract data places on the Canadian-born infielder. That illustrates that even at his price, how much of a bargain the four-time All-Star is for the Jays compared to players with similar production at his age.
Should Guerrero wind up leaving Toronto, however, keep an eye on teams like the Detroit Tigers, who check in at +1000 on our odds board, which would translate to a 9.1% implied probability at Ontario sportsbook apps. As a reminder, these odds were developed exclusively for OntarioBets.com.
The other teams on our board are the Seattle Mariners (+1200), Texas Rangers (+2150) and New York Mets (+2850), as all four will be eyeing the superstar this season (or offseason, should Vladito stay in Toronto that long).
🏆 CHECK OUT: MLB World Series Odds
Vlad Guerrero 2024 Production
Guerrero’s main task for now is to follow up on a wildly successful season in 2024, when he posted his second-highest WAR total (6.2, per Baseball-Reference.com), with 199 hits, 44 doubles (both career highs), 30 homers and 103 RBIs in 159 games played.
Guerrero’s next contract will be huge, wherever he winds up. For the opposite end of the payroll spectrum, see our story about most undervalued Blue Jays in 2025.
In the year ahead, Baseball-Reference.com projects Vladito to bash 26 homers, 87 RBIs and 160 hits across 617 plate appearances. That would build on a season that few north of the border will forget, though the team’s on-field performance lagged well behind expectations in 2024.
Entering the regular season, the team at DraftKings Ontario Sportsbook sees Vlad’s on-field performance as the only bright spot for the Jays. Guerrero, who turned 26 on March 16, holds +1700 odds of winning the American League MVP (just behind Mike Trout at +1600 for the eighth best odds leaguewide) in 2025.
Toronto enters the year with a win total over/under of 78.5 and +250 odds of making the playoffs with the operator, the fourth longest of any team in the 15-team Junior Circuit. As for winning the World Series, the oddsmakers at Sports Interaction Ontario Sportsbook lists the Blue Jays at +6600 odds.
USA Today photo by Brian Bradshaw Sevald
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